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The Official Smokey Joe 2010 NFL Draft Preview

April 18th, 2010

Some two-and-a-half months after the Super Bowl and endless hours of networks trying to convince us that rumors, speculation, opinion, and conjecture is the same as real news, we’re finally ready for the first big event of the 2010 NFL season:  the 2010 NFL Draft.

Broadcast for the first time over three days (beginning on Thursday, April 22 at 6:30 pm Central), the NFL draft is the first real activity that gives an indication of the direction each of the 32 NFL teams will take in the coming year(s).

The draft analysis below assumes that no teams will trade out of their current slots, which is like assuming the NBA playoffs will happen without Paul Pierce exaggerating the severity of a boo-boo.

As the time before the draft dwindles, two things become clear:  a) Browns team president Mike Holmgren wants a franchise quarterback, and b) the only one he sees in this year’s draft is Oklahoma’s Sam Bradford.  As of Sunday morning, it’s looking more and more like the Browns are working hard to package some of their early round draft choices (they have 5 of the first 100 picks) to move from #7  in round one up to the first overall pick to take the QB they need.

If the Browns and Rams do swap first round position, look for the Rams to take Jimmy Clausen at #7 and the Bills, who are also in desperate need of a franchise signal caller, to take Florida’s Tim Tebow out of the first-round purgatory I’ve predicted and jump him all the way from out of the first round to #9.  The difference in money between a second round pick and a top-10 selection will fund a lot of circumcisions for pro-life inmates, or whatever Tebow intends do to with his money.

As is the case every year, Al Davis and his crack team of a thousand monkeys are working feverishly as they prepare to make the stupidist possible selection with the Raiders first-round pick (#8 overall).

With no further ado (but a hundred more caveats), here is the Official Smokey Joe 2010 NFL Draft Preview:

DRAFT ORDER TEAM PICK COMMENTS
1 St. Louis Rams Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma The only thing that would keep the Rams from taking Bradford would be if they trade out of the number 1 slot.  After their draft performance of the past few years, this may be their best bet.  But Bradford has all the appearance of a franchise QB, something St Louis desperately needs.
2 Detroit Lions Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska Suh was a once-in-a-decade college defensive line force whose attitude and skill set projects well to Sunday football.  The Lions improved their offense in 2009; it’s time for an upgrade to the defense.  That starts with Suh.
3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma McCoy and Suh are 1a and 1b among impact defensive players coming into the league.  Tampa has fallen hard times and the best way to rebuild a moribund franchise quickly is from the inside (O- and D-lines) out.  Some key playmakers on offense are in place.  Like Detroit, it’s time to pay attention to the defense.
4 Washington Redskins Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State With Donovan McNabb behind center in Washington this fall, that means two things:  a) the urgency in taking a QB high in this year’s draft isnot there, and b) somebody needs to keep Donnie Mac off the ground.  Okung is the most NFL-ready OT prospect in the draft and the former Oklahoma State star has the potential to lead the ‘Skins on a Return to the Hogs path.
5 Kansas City Chiefs Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma Trent Williams from Oklahoma as the size, good feet, long arms, and nasty streak to give Matt Cassell time to bring some of that New England offensive magic to Kansas City.  The Chiefs have many needs but anchor on the left side of the O-line is a good first step.  Oklahoma lands three players in the top 5 with Williams’ selection.
6 Seattle Seahawks Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech The Seahawks are hoping C.J. Spiller will be thre for their second pick in the first round (#14…and he won’t be) but view the Georgia Tech pass rusher as too good a talent to pass up.  Morgan’s explosive burst and combination bull rush and spin moves resulted in 12.5 sacks and 18.5 tackles for loss in 2009 for the Yellow Jackets.
7 Cleveland Browns C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson Mike Holmgren would love to take a franchise QB at #7 but unfortunately, there isn’t one here.  Picking up Clemson’s Spiller here is a bit of a surprise but gives the Browns an explosive RB to go along with Joshua Cribbs, creating matchup hell for opposing linebackers.  Spiller is a dynamic and surprisingly duable back who will be ready to take the first handoff of the Browns’ 2010 season.
8 Oakland Raiders Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, USF Pierre-Paul is the sort of athletic freak who could generate the sort of dominating defensive pressure Al Davis loves.  “The QB must go down and he must go down hard,” like, “Just win, baby” are Raiders’ maxims that have been missing in recent years and they hope Pierre-Paul retuns some of that defensive nasty that’s been missing since Bill Roid-manowski left town.
9 Buffalo Bills Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame Clausen may be the most NFL-ready QB in the draft but most pundits don’t see much room for growth in his game.  What you see is what you’ll have.  Additionally, questions about his maturity and judgement left many NFL GMs cold on the former Domer.  All this just tells you how desperate the Bills are to find someone who can return this moribund franchise to relevance in the AFC East. 
10 Jacksonville Jaguars Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama Like the Rams, the Jags would love to trade out of their round 1 position to stockpile some second and third round picks in what most believe is a deep draft.  Since the top two players on their board (Spiller and Pierre-Paul) will be gone here, look for the Jags to work the phones hard before taking McClain to bolster the Jacksonville defense.
11 Denver Broncos Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State Exit head-case #1 (Brandon Marshall), enter head-case #2.  Bryant has the playmaking ability to be the next Randy Moss.  But there will be questions about his maturity until he proves he’s ready to be a professional.  Starting out in Josh McDaniels’s system will give him the foundation he needs and — McDaniels hopes — give the Broncos the drama-free playmaker they didn’t have with Marshall.
12 Miami Dolphins Dan Williams, NT, Tennessee Parcells/Ireland/Sparano love to build with the inside uglies and few are uglier than Tennessee’s Williams.  With Jason Ferguson’s advancing age (and off-field issues), Williams should be a plug-and-play replacement as the anchor the Dolphins’ defensive front.
13 San Francisco 49ers Eric Berry, S, Tennessee The 49ers’ Trent Baalke and head coach Mike Singletary will be giggling uncontrolably when they see Berry fall to them at #13.  Berry is the consensus #1 safety in the draft and is the type of player Singletary loves:  aggressive, smart, and with something to prove after falling ouf of the top 10.  Berry has the potential to be the second coming of Ed Reed.
14 Seattle Seahawks Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers Seattle will consider trading out of the #14 slot to stockpile picks but a chance to pick up a franchise tackle will be too much to pass up.  Davis didn’t get the press that Iowa’s Bryan Bulaga did but he has longer arms and quicker feed than the Hawkeye tackle.  
15 New York Giants Brandon Graham, OLB, Michigan Nearing the mid-way point of the draft, most clubs’ first choices will be gone and that’s the case with the Giants.  They wanted McClain but are happy with Graham.  The Michigan defender is big enough to play off the end and quick enough to play in space at outside linebacker.
16 Tennessee Titans Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa Questions remain about whether Bulaga has long enough arms and quick enough feet to make the transition but the Titans need help at tackle and the only other alternative at this spot in the draft is combine phenom Bruce Campbell from Maryland.  Titans roll the dice with the Big-10 lineman and hope Bulaga is more Jake Long or Joe Thomas and not Robert Gallery.
17 San Francisco 49ers Joe Haden, CB, Florida Like Bill Walsh in 1981, the 49ers look to solve their defensive backfield woes in one draft.  Haden is an incredible draft value at #17 and while the 49ers will toy with the idea of taking a QB here, the former Gator corner will be too much to pass up.  Look for Haden and Berry to line up on opening day 2010.
18 Pittsburgh Steelers Maurkice Pouncey, C/G Pouncey gives the Steelers what could be the next in a long line of legends at center.  Justin Hartwig has held down the fort but is starting to show signs of his 9 years in the league.  Pouncey is versitile, allowing coach Mike Tomlin to line him up at guard or cener, and will make the adjustment to making offensive line calls much better than most young centers.
19 Atlanta Falcons Mike Iuptati, G, Idaho With no real premiere defensive front-7 playmakers left on the board, the Falcons go to an area of need in taking the Idaho guard.  Iupati has the size (6′5″, 331), athleticism (low 5’s in the 40, 4.93 in the 20-yard shuttle), and work ethic to potentially make the switch to tackle at some point in the future.  In the near term, the Falcons get a polished guard to bolster an offensive line that allowed just 27 sacks in 2009.
20 Houston Texans Earl Thomas, CB/S, Texas The Texans need to add some playmakers in the defensive and offensive backfield but running backs are easier to find in the second and later rounds than DBs.  Thomas brings the versatility to play corner or safety and his sub-4.5 40 time and 21 reps on the bench will give the Texans the defensive enforcer they need.
21 Cincinnati Bengals Taylor Mays, FS, USC Mays’ size (6′3″, 230 lbs) and speed (4.31) will be too much to pass up for a Bengals team that needs help at safety.  Some project Mays to someday make the conversion to CB at the next level but his tight hips and suspected lack of ball-hawking instincts may translate into a move to outside linebacker as his body fully matures and his speed falls off (you know…to, like, 4.4 or something). 
22 New England Patriots Ryan Matthews, RB, Fresno Stat Anytime you see the Pats in round 1, you expect them to discuss trading down to stockpile 2nd and 3rd round picks.  This year is no different but they’ll be happy to pick up Matthews to fill a long-needed running back hole.  Matthews’ speed (4.37 40) and production with the Bulldogs will give New England the reliable runner they thought they had with Laurence Maroney.  Matthews averaged more than 6.0 yards per carry at Fresno State, scoring 39 touchdowns in three seasons, and did not fumble once in three years in college.
23 Green Bay Packers Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State Coming out of the WAC, there were questions about whether Wilson could stop big-time receivers but he answered those at the Senior Bowl.  Wilson is not a great tackler but the Packers need pass coverage, not run stopping help, from their cornerbacks.  In Wilson, they et it.
24 Philadelphia Eagles Sergio Kindle OLB, Texas Kindle’s off-field isues cause him to fall this far in round one but Eagles’ Andy Reid is not afraid to take a chance on a superior athletic talent with character questions (see:  Vick, Michael).  Kindle can play both outside linebacker and rush end, giving D-coordiantor Sean McDermott one more toy to play with.
25 Baltimore Ravens Sean Witherspoon, OLB, Missouri Witherspoon’s intensity will fit right in with the Ravens defense led by Ray Lewis and Ed Reed.  He has the speed, size, and athleticism to take pressure off of Lewis and get to the quarterback.
26 Arizona Cardinals Everson Griffen, DE, USC Griffen was inconsistent his first two years at USC before rededicating himself prior to the 2009 season.  He logged 9.5 tackles for loss and 8 sacks in living up to the early hype.  Look for Griffen to challenge Calais Campbell for the left defensive end position in the Cardinals 3-4 base set
27 Dallas Cowboys Charles Brown, OT, USC Brown has room to add plenty of meat on his 6′6″, 303 lb frame but his long arms and athleticism project well for the former USC standout to challenge for a starting spot in 2010.  With Flozell Adams out, the Cowboys need help keeping the still new-turf smell off of QB Tony Romo.
28 San Diego Chargers Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State Like Griffen, Odrick took a couple years in Happy Valley to get serious.  Once he did, he lived up to his high school All-American billing.  Chargers will be thrilled that Odrick snuck past the Ravens at #25.
29 New York Jets Jahvid Best, RB, Cal Despite the addition of former Charger LaDanian Thomlinson, and re-signing Leon Washington to a one-year tender, Best is too good go pass up.  His 4.34 speed and production, both at running back and kick returner (avg. 225 all-purpose yards per game) make Best a Percy Harvin-type game breaker.
30 Minnesota Vikings Nate Allen, FS, USF The Vikings need help in a defensive backfield that finished in the bottom half of the league in 2009, surrendering 218.4 passing yards per game.  Allen will provide much needed help over the top and he improved his tackling signficiantly in 2009.
31 Indianapolis Colts Devin McCourty, CB, Rutgers McCourty will give the Vikes an instant upgrade to a defense that finished in the bottom half of the league in 2009, allowing 218.4 passing yards per game.  McCourty has sub-4.4 speed and a 36″ vertical and is a polished product, ready to contribute both on defense and special teams for the Vikes.
32 New Orleans Saints Jerry Hughes, OLB, TCU With the loss of Scott Fujita to free agency, the defending Super Bowl champs fill a need by grabbing Hughes, who is big enough at 255 to stuff the run and athletic and quick enough (4.65 40, 34.5″ vertical) to rush from the edge.

Joe Mayes NFL

Tiger’s Buddhism fuels Mickelson’s Karma

April 12th, 2010

Ironic, isn’t it?

Over the past month, Tiger Woods has mentioned returning to his Buddhist roots on four separate occasions.  He said he had gotten away from the values he was taught as a child and was anxious to return.

A fundamental doctrine of Buddhism is Karma, the law of moral causation.  Put more simply, Karma is the law of cause and effect in the ethical realm.

As a Buddhist, Tiger had to at least be aware that his path to redemption would lead through the karmic wasteland he created with his own…uh…hands.

While the details of Tiger’s personal “transgressions” will likely never see the light of day, it seems apparent that, at a minimum, he treated women badly.  He went through women like he went through the competition on the golf course:  he plowed through them with a blind focus on #1, with no signs of compassion or remorse.

While Tiger was walking his path of destruction, the other great golfer of our generation, Phil Mickelson, was travelling a far different path.

As most people know, Mickelson’s wife, Amy, and his mother were both diagnosed with breast cancer about a year ago.  Because of this, Mickelson has spent much of the past year away from the golf course, but for far different reasons that Woods.

Rather than extra-marital dalliances, Mickelson has been spending his time caring for his wife, mother, and his children, two of whom are daughters.

 In other words, while Tiger was treating women badly, Phil was being supporting, loving, and caring.

And on Sunday, the golf world got to see Karma in all its glory.

Of course Karma had nothing to do with Mickelson winning the tournament.  He won his third green jacket because he’s learned how to use his cowboy mentality on the course to his advantage, as evidenced by his impossible/miraculous/routine-by-Phil’s-standards shot from the pine straw on number 13.  He won because he’s learned how to keep his emotions in check and focus on the shot at hand.

No, Karma showed up after the tournament.  Following eleven months of him putting the needs of his wife, mother, and daughters (and son) ahead of his own, guess who was waiting for Mickelson at the 18th green?  Waiting to embrace him and share in his joy were the women in his life:  his mother, his daughters, and his beloved wife, Amy (and his son, for whom he has provided such a fine example of how a man should carry himself).

Following his 4th place finish – certainly respectable given a self-inflicted five-month layoff – the only people waiting to greet Tiger were his agent, his publicist, and a security detail.

The law of cause and effect in the ethical realm.

Tiger said he was returning to his Buddhist roots, back to the values he was taught as a child.  Turns out that his path back to Buddhism ran straight through a little town in eastern Georgia called “Karma.”

Joe Mayes General

Meyer resigns…sorta (UPDATED 12/28/09)

December 26th, 2009

University of Florida head football coach Urban Meyer resigned unexpectedly on Saturday.  His final game as the head of the Gator Nation will be January 1, 2010 against Cincinnati in the Sugar Bowl.

According to reports from ESPN, Meyer released the following statement:

“I have given my heart and soul to coaching college football and mentoring young men for the last 24-plus years and I have dedicated most of my waking moments the last five years to the Gator football program.  I have ignored my health for years, but recent developments have forced me to reevaluate my priorities of faith and family.

“After consulting with my family, Dr. Machen, Jeremy Foley and my doctors, I believe it is in my best interest to step aside and focus on my health and family.”

Following the SEC Championship game against the number 1 ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, Meyer was hospitalized briefly for what was called at the time, “dehydration.”  In the light of this report, there is now speculation that the incident in Atlanta may have been more serious than previously reported.

Meyer achieved an .849 winning percentage (56-10) in his five-year run, highest in Florida school history.

 

UPDATE (12/28/2009)

Meyer’s resignation was converted into a “leave of absence,” at least on paper.  Meyer said during a Sunday afternoon press conference at the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans that he believes in his gut that he will be coaching the Gators in 2010.

Others are not convinced.

There has been speculation that the rapid reversal was at least in part to prevent any wholesale abandonment by Florida recruits.

With Meyer out and most of the “premium” college coaches already installed in their 2010 positions, a Meyer-less Florida program would be far less appealing to incoming recruits than what they believed they signed on for.

After a somewhat lackluster offensive performance in 2009, installing offensive coordinator Steve Addazio as interim head coach would likely have resulted in some premier recruits taking their skills elsewhere, including to SEC rivals Tennessee and Alabama.

Meyer’s Harvin-esque reversal of field on Sunday will do much to allay the concerns of recruits who might be hearing from Lane Kiffin or Nick Saban (after the recruiting dead period, of course).  The idea that Meyer will be involved in the Florida program with an eye toward returning to the sidelines will certainly give recruits some reassurance that the Florida program in which they’ll participate resembles the one they’ve watched Meyer create in five years in Gainesville.  And it will definitely give them more confidence than turning the reins of one of the nation’s premier programs were handed over to career assistant, Addazio.

All indications are that Meyer’s medical issues are real and a serious threat to his long-term health.  There is also little doubt that the first lady of the Gator Nation, Shelley Meyer, has expressed her concern to her husband.  Any married man who has felt pressure from his better half can recognize this in Meyer’s words.

The only question in my mind is not the veracity of the stated reasons for Meyer’s resignation on Saturday.  It’s the motivation for his Sunday change of course.  Was it really due to the inspiriation provided by the Gators’ players and coaches during Sunday morning’s practice, as Meyer indicated, or was it a concession to the Florida program to stem the bleeding of recruits long enough to get a name head coach in place?

Time will tell but it took a helluva bold move by Meyer to turn the attention of football fans in the state of Florida away from Florida State head coach Bobby Bowden’s final game of his illustrious career on Jan 1.

But “bold moves” are exactly what have typified Meyer’s 24-year coaching career.  And he’s got one more game left to coach.

At least.

More to come.

~Smokey Joe

Joe Mayes Florida, SEC

And then he was gone

December 1st, 2009

Florida State University head football coach Bobby Bowden announced his retirement in a statement released by the university.

Joe Mayes General

Bowden’s retirement announcement imminent

December 1st, 2009

Florida State University officials have confirmed that there will be an announcement this afternoon – probably in the form of a press release — after head coach (for now) Bobby Bowden meets with the football team, scheduled for 2:15 Tallahassee time.

 

The school would neither confirm nor deny that the announcement will be Bowden’s retirement but three independent sources are reporting that this is the case based on discussions with “high-ranking” university officials.

 

All three reports are consistent in saying that yesterday’s discussion between Bowden, university president T.K. Wetherell, and Director of Athletics Randy Spetman focused on Bowden’s role with the team going forward.  The options presented were:

 

1.  remain as “head coach” while ceding most of the decision authority for the program to Jimbo Fisher, or

2.  step down.

 

All three sources report that Bowden has elected the latter option and the school will announce his retirement following the 2:15 team meeting.

 

Additionally, one source reports that a new contract for Jimbo Fisher, reflecting his position as head coach of the Florida State Seminoles, was completed last night as well.  No details about the contract are available at this point.

 

Stay tuned throughout the day for additional information on the retirement of Coach Bowden.

 

Will keep you posted as I get additional information.

 

~Smokey Joe

Joe Mayes Florida State, General

Seminole boosters pushing Bowden out?

November 28th, 2009

Sources close to the Florida State University football boosters have reported that one big-money booster has weighed in on whether or not legendary head coach Bobby Bowden should return for 2010.

The question is, how much weight does $15 million carry in Tallahassee?

The unnamed booster has reportedly offered to donate $15 million toward the construction of an indoor training facility for the Seminole football program.  One condition, however, is that Jimbo Fisher, not Bowden, be the man to coach the football team in the new practice facility.

Plans have been announced for the facility but funding remains an issue.  (Design firm Ellerbe Becket has provided the school preliminary pictures here, here, here, and here.)

Director of Athletics, Randy Spetman, has confirmed that there are some donors willing to provide what he called, “seed money.”  “We do have some [money] committed for the project and a number of interested donors, but are not at a point to announce any kind of time line.”

If my sources are correct, the reason there is no time line for the donation is there has been no time line announced for Bowden’s departure.

This appears to be yet another twist in a seemingly ever more acrimonious split between Bobby Bowden and the Florida State University football program he essentially built.  After 34 years together, maybe it’s true…there is no easy way to say goodbye.

Stay tuned for more…

~Smokey Joe

Joe Mayes ACC, Florida State

A Farewell to (Right) Arms

November 20th, 2009

When Florida State head football coach Bobby Bowden was asked what departing defensive coordinator Mickey Andrews has meant to him during their past quarter century together, Bowden pulled a reference from Southern history.  “What did [Stonewall] Jackson mean to [Robert E.] Lee?” he said, analogizing his relationship with his longtime assistant and friend to that of the two Civil War generals.  “He said it was his right arm.”

And so it has been for the past quarter-century:  Andrews as Bowden’s right arm as the two men built, from the ground up, a Nationally-prominent football program together.

You know the records.  Fourteen consecutive ten-win seasons from 1987-2000.  Fourteen consecutive top-5 finishes in the AP poll.  More than 150 players drafted by NFL teams.

And much of the Seminoles success over the years was predicated on Andrews’ defensive schemes that transformed the football landscape from coast-to-coast.  He crafted defensive game plans to attack the opponents’ offense before the offense could attack them.  He put great athletes in positions to make big plays and created an atmosphere in which these athletes pushed the envelope of what had previously been the role of the defense.

Of course, this atmosphere resulted in incidents like those involving former Florida Heisman winning quarterback Danny Wuerffel during the mid-1990’s.  Andrews charges were accused of dirty play, of trying to deliberately hurt Wuerffel and other opposing teams’ offensive stars.

Andrews role in these incidents can be debated but what is certain is that offenses in college football had to adapt and transform in response to the Noles’ attacking, focused aggression.

This influence extended beyond the college game, too.  Andrews developed 18 first-round NFL draft picks during 26 seasons at Florida State beginning with cornerback Deion Sanders in 1989.  In total, 73 former Nole defenders have been taken by NFL teams, including stars like Sanders, Peter Boulware, Derrick Brooks, Terrell Buckley, LeRoy Butler, Sam Cowart and Marvin Jones.

“Not a single day goes by when I am coaching, mentoring or teaching somebody that I don’t use things Coach Andrews taught me,” Sanders said upon hearing the announcement of Andrews retirement.

The Nov 21 game against Maryland will mark Andrews’ final game in the stadium he helped double in size, from 40,500 seats to more than 83,000.  Just once more, he’ll send his troops onto the field named for his boss for the previous 26 years.  He’ll travel to Gainesville next weekend and, if the Seminoles are able to win one of their final two games, maybe even to a bowl game to close things out on a high note.

But after that, if head coach Bobby Bowden does decide to come back for one final year in 2010, he’ll be doing it without his right arm.

Joe Mayes ACC, Florida State

Breakdown of 2009 Gators Offense

November 14th, 2009

OK, I don’t care who you are, this is funny.

And if you don’t find it funny, take off your Tebow jammies, put down your Gator Crunch! cereal, take a deep breath, and get some fresh air.

 

Picture 22

Link to source. 

Happy Saturday, football fans!

Joe Mayes Florida

Smokey Joe’s NFL Week 9 MNF Pick

November 9th, 2009

Forgot the Monday nighter.  Need a big win to go over .500 for the week.

 

VISIT LINE HOME Pick/Comment
PIT -2.5 DEN Pittsburgh and lay the points.  It’s the Steelers time of year and Denver’s defense is showing signs of softening (17, 23, and 30 points in the past three weeks).

Joe Mayes NFL

Smokey Joe’s NFL Week Picks

November 8th, 2009

Bye week for Buffalo, Cleveland, Oakland, St Louis, Minnesota, and the Jets. Other than millions pining for Brett Favre, will anyone notice the Bills, Browns, Raiders, and Rams aren’t playing? Just like their first 8 weeks so far.

On to the picks. Whatever you do, do NOT bet these picks.

VISIT LINE HOME Pick/Comment
WAS +9.5 ATL Atlanta and lay the points.  Roddy White is playing and Matt Ryan will find him.
ARI +2.5 CHI Chicago and lay the points.  Arizona’s schizophrenic passing game will hit a wall in the Windy City.
BAL -3 CIN Cincinnati and the points.  Baltimore is for real but so are the Bengals, particularly at home.
HOU +9 IND Indianapolis and lay the points.  Schaub has a dome arm but can’t keep up with Peyton.
KC +7 JAC Chiefs and the points.  No way to pick both teams to lose and Jax will be playing in front of a small crowd…at home.
GB -10 TB Tampa and the points.  The Bucs running game will have to keep the ball away from Aaron Rodgers and the Tampa D can get pressure on the Packers signal caller.
MIA +11 NE Miami and the points.  The Dolphins Wildcat is not a gimmick.  It’s a solid run-first offense built on the foundation of a top-10 offensive line.  Chad Henne and Ted Ginn, Jr (with something to prove) add a potent dimension.
CAR +13.5 NO New Orleans and lay the points.  Darren Sharper will feast on Jake Delhomme and Drew Brees is, well…Drew Brees.
DET +11 SEA Detroit and the points.  Stafford is probable and Calvin Johnson is questionable but will likely see sufficient playing time to torch the ‘Hawks.
SD +5 NYG San Diego and the points.  The past three years have show that Eli plays better on the road…when he doesn’t have to fight the Meadowlands winds.  Phillip Rivers has no such arm issues.
TEN +4.5 SF San Francisco and lay the points.  The 49ers played Indy and Peyton Manning tough on the road last week…look for them to dismember Vince Young.
DAL +3 PHI Philadelphia and lay the points.  I’m not sold on Dallas just yet and Philly finally found offensive weapons for Donovan McNabb.  Eagles by 7.

Joe Mayes NFL